aghy: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xc3daa1bb9ce85866fb1a7c3a5d02816798e641fe · leaderboard rank #228 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only On the watchlist

Edge only in macro — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets.

Trades, 30 days
158
78 resolved · 49% of them
Win rate
92%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
45%
$6164.97 on $27229.95 traded
Copyability
67/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where aghy actually wins

Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Macro & economics947796%$37982.69
Other markets578125%$11441.98

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 37 days before resolution. Average fill size $692.50; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $11676.17. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow aghy on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-09-24.