LightParadox: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets; margin on volume -4.9% below floor. wide spreads (avg 8.2c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 311 18 resolved · 6% of them
- Win rate
- 44% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -5% $22985.27 on $271888.50 traded
- Copyability
- 46 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where LightParadox actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 57 | 36 | 50% | $233.53 |
| Other markets | 37 | 275 | 25% | −$1615.95 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 24 hours before resolution. Average fill size $91.56; average spread paid 8.3¢; average book liquidity $8549.51. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-09: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 7 settled markets
Follow LightParadox on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed