qfwdsd1: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy Rejected
Typical market holds $2572 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: margin on volume -3.1% below floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $2572).
- Trades, 30 days
- 234 32 resolved · 14% of them
- Win rate
- 47% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -3% $5655.57 on $59648.22 traded
- Copyability
- 62 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where qfwdsd1 actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 55 | 20 | 0% | $88.10 |
| Sports | 40 | 44 | 71% | −$206.17 |
| Other markets | 31 | 170 | 56% | −$425.09 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 days before resolution. Average fill size $75.90; average spread paid 2.2¢; average book liquidity $2578.16. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -3.1% below floor
Follow qfwdsd1 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed