HorizonHill: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Not enough evidence Rejected
Only 9 resolved trades — not enough to judge. Reservation: 100% of profit from a single trade; only 9 resolved trades; margin on volume 0.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 21 9 resolved · 43% of them
- Win rate
- 89% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 0% $22100.45 on $46118.35 traded
- Copyability
- 62 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where HorizonHill actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 54 | 19 | 100% | $0.07 |
| Sports | 48 | 2 | 50% | $0.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 15 hours before resolution. Average fill size $1099.08; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $24327.78. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — 100% of profit from a single trade
Follow HorizonHill on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed