cligui: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x000710f9cf9f1aaffc749e078dfd94b81b5a3545 · leaderboard rank #455 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only On the watchlist

Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -6.9% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
198
183 resolved · 92% of them
Win rate
64%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-7%
$3080.95 on $9999.88 traded
Copyability
77/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where cligui actually wins

Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Sports906889%$2428.70
Other markets2313055%−$4175.41

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 5 days before resolution. Average fill size $128.77; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $105394.19. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

Follow cligui on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-16.