Why count settled markets instead of trades?
Settled markets — Independent outcomes. Fifty fills in one game are one observation, not fifty.
A wallet scaling into a single match fires dozens of fills. Counting them as separate wins inflates a win rate to whatever the wallet wants it to be. The unit that carries information is the resolved market: did this call pay out or not.
Stratex Hub requires 8 settled markets before it trusts a win rate, 20 settled filtered copies before it will compare itself to blind copying, and 30 settled markets over 45 forward days before a wallet can be published as a strategy. Settlement is taken from Polymarket's own closed flag, never inferred from a price near 0 or 1.
See it on real wallets
Every wallet page on Stratex Hub shows this measure with the numbers behind it. Start from the re-ranked leaderboard or browse all analysed wallets; the methodology has the formulas.