ndb1: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 157d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: 92% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; ROI -471.9% below floor. wide spreads (avg 7.4c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 338 11 resolved · 3% of them
- Win rate
- 27% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -472% $76775.55 on $152004.92 traded
- Copyability
- 53 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ndb1 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 62 | 229 | 27% | $15396.15 |
| Politics | 50 | 44 | 0% | −$2627.35 |
| Other markets | 50 | 65 | 0% | −$1012051.04 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 157 days before resolution. Average fill size $626.52; average spread paid 8.7¢; average book liquidity $39644.99. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
Follow ndb1 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed