Ballons: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume 2.7% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 321 91 resolved · 28% of them
- Win rate
- 73% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 3% $3048.66 on $30093.58 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Ballons actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 72 | 283 | 75% | $2343.62 |
| Sports | 33 | 38 | 50% | −$654.05 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $195.75; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed