cepefernando: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -16.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 260 30 resolved · 12% of them
- Win rate
- 70% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $3416.74 on $16953.44 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where cepefernando actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 40 | 130 | 75% | −$15041.53 |
| Sports | 33 | 130 | 68% | −$13223.93 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 days before resolution. Average fill size $675.51; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-19: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -16.1% below floor
Follow cepefernando on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed