Schafbergballs: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets; margin on volume -5.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 92 12 resolved · 13% of them
- Win rate
- 42% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -6% $2617.70 on $35680.61 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Schafbergballs actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 50 | 0% | −$1600.00 |
| Politics | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 30 | 36 | 42% | −$2301.57 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $750.75; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-16: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 7 settled markets
Follow Schafbergballs on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed