-Pain: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -4.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 373 321 resolved · 86% of them
- Win rate
- 51% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -5% $4248.21 on $8279.13 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where -Pain actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 51 | 1 | 100% | $4.10 |
| Other markets | 21 | 372 | 51% | −$3693.22 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 hours before resolution. Average fill size $202.04; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -4.9% below floor
Follow -Pain on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed