stefan168: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -15.7% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 351 26 resolved · 7% of them
- Win rate
- 54% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $4036.99 on $11107.83 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where stefan168 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 67 | 10 | 50% | $366.25 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 5 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 4 | 0% | −$520.00 |
| Other markets | 32 | 332 | 56% | −$20467.47 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $375.12; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-04: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -15.7% below floor
Follow stefan168 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed