newwman: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -4.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 358 152 resolved · 42% of them
- Win rate
- 66% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $7801.80 on $11150.71 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where newwman actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 28 | 358 | 66% | −$3497.73 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $225.70; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-27: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -4.3% below floor
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed