Grug771: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume -3.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 32 22 resolved · 69% of them
- Win rate
- 32% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $4440.83 on $48017.15 traded
- Copyability
- 84 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Grug771 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 56 | 1 | 100% | $754.50 |
| Other markets | 22 | 31 | 29% | −$3485.05 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 hours before resolution. Average fill size $2331.23; average spread paid 0.1¢; average book liquidity $627910.38. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-18: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 5 settled markets
Follow Grug771 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed