ashflsaidsao: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy Rejected
Typical market holds $2353 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -29.4% below floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $2353); wide spreads (avg 4.6c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 398 377 resolved · 95% of them
- Win rate
- 51% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -29% $6662.70 on $61968.24 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ashflsaidsao actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 21 | 398 | 51% | −$12427.78 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 0 hours before resolution. Average fill size $106.16; average spread paid 4.7¢; average book liquidity $2412.82. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-02: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed