self-defence: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -9.7% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 348 79 resolved · 23% of them
- Win rate
- 47% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -10% $3533.77 on $3964.91 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where self-defence actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 37 | 4 | 25% | −$454.92 |
| Other markets | 22 | 341 | 48% | −$4314.15 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 hours before resolution. Average fill size $140.89; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow self-defence on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed