aloneinthebag: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -35.0% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 285 40 resolved · 14% of them
- Win rate
- 40% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -35% $897.05 on $175.43 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where aloneinthebag actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 28 | 66 | 22% | −$2707.06 |
| Other markets | 25 | 219 | 45% | −$4555.84 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $72.80; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow aloneinthebag on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed