ztao: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -1.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 319 122 resolved · 38% of them
- Win rate
- 91% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $4398.00 on $55194.27 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ztao actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 55 | 25 | 100% | $378.82 |
| Other markets | 44 | 294 | 91% | −$2127.89 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $465.94; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow ztao on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed