cayenneee: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -1.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 106 106 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 34% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $2975.06 on $4297.36 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where cayenneee actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 70 | 80 | 31% | $927.90 |
| Geopolitics | 34 | 5 | 20% | −$410.92 |
| Sports | 28 | 21 | 48% | −$712.04 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $156.12; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-13: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -1.2% below floor
Follow cayenneee on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed