sinestia: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -8.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 90 62 resolved · 69% of them
- Win rate
- 48% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -8% $3513.29 on $23822.38 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where sinestia actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 31 | 14 | 0% | −$1263.41 |
| Other markets | 25 | 76 | 53% | −$4020.99 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 hours before resolution. Average fill size $728.45; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -8.1% below floor
Follow sinestia on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed