arbbro: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -20.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 370 181 resolved · 49% of them
- Win rate
- 43% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $5309.99 on $5722.86 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where arbbro actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 48 | 25 | 100% | −$2803.78 |
| Sports | 26 | 17 | 11% | −$3096.71 |
| Other markets | 19 | 328 | 44% | −$8165.07 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 15 hours before resolution. Average fill size $189.41; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-29: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -20.1% below floor
Follow arbbro on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed