ArmageddonRewardsBilly: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets; ROI -22.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 376 16 resolved · 4% of them
- Win rate
- 88% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -23% $6249.90 on $135692.63 traded
- Copyability
- 74 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ArmageddonRewardsBilly actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 53 | 0% | −$136.60 |
| Other markets | 50 | 185 | 0% | −$2394.85 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 4 | 0% | −$46.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 43 | 60 | 83% | −$14135.97 |
| Politics | 42 | 73 | 90% | −$513.35 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 34 days before resolution. Average fill size $201.26; average spread paid 1.7¢; average book liquidity $61733.12. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow ArmageddonRewardsBilly on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed