0xbd3f…d12d: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0xbd3f8f21345d84b865feed7a48d260e9c9aed12d · leaderboard rank #185 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -4.7% below floor.

Trades, 30 days
188
179 resolved · 95% of them
Win rate
44%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-5%
$6573.83 on $40788.37 traded
Copyability
84/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where 0xbd3f…d12d actually wins

Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Crypto1918844%−$1067.39

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 8 hours before resolution. Average fill size $121.30; average spread paid 0.1¢; average book liquidity $328875.12. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -4.7% below floor

Follow 0xbd3f…d12d on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar crypto wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-06.