nicoczyt: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -2.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 162 107 resolved · 66% of them
- Win rate
- 36% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -2% $3586.30 on $18910.97 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where nicoczyt actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 75 | 136 | 42% | $2164.40 |
| Other markets | 16 | 26 | 0% | −$2552.79 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $96.06; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-14: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -2.5% below floor
Follow nicoczyt on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed