dwedwd: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 74% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume -20.3% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 385 37 resolved · 10% of them
- Win rate
- 41% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -20% $8097.83 on $94012.50 traded
- Copyability
- 79 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where dwedwd actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 4 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 45 | 45 | 57% | −$2.24 |
| Other markets | 22 | 334 | 37% | −$3569.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 11 hours before resolution. Average fill size $45.77; average spread paid 0.4¢; average book liquidity $102779.12. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-26: On the watchlist → Rejected — 74% of profit from a single trade
Follow dwedwd on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed