0xb4bf…fa41: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -16.4% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 307 296 resolved · 96% of them
- Win rate
- 68% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -16% $91445.92 on $523072.91 traded
- Copyability
- 70 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0xb4bf…fa41 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 64 | 14 | 100% | $25451.61 |
| Other markets | 28 | 293 | 68% | −$75021.80 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $982.82; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $178074.43. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-18: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow 0xb4bf…fa41 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed