kosminia: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 71% of profit from a single trade; margin on volume -52.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 47 36 resolved · 77% of them
- Win rate
- 6% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -52% $5376.91 on $12045.85 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where kosminia actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50 | 4 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 11 | 43 | 6% | −$6721.06 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 19 hours before resolution. Average fill size $272.54; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-07: On the watchlist → Rejected — 71% of profit from a single trade
Follow kosminia on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed