TB14: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Rejected
Enters a median 119d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: margin on volume -3.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 291 26 resolved · 9% of them
- Win rate
- 35% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $41252.65 on $84517.57 traded
- Copyability
- 80 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where TB14 actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 37 | 143 | 38% | −$2329.04 |
| Sports | 27 | 142 | 31% | −$22431.62 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 119 days before resolution. Average fill size $2357.25; average spread paid 0.5¢; average book liquidity $122512.96. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-28: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -3.6% below floor
Follow TB14 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed