mattjay: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -5.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 343 104 resolved · 30% of them
- Win rate
- 48% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -6% $921.28 on $17310.06 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where mattjay actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 28 | 96 | 58% | −$1247.42 |
| Other markets | 21 | 246 | 43% | −$3023.98 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $212.59; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow mattjay on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed