HerrieDavis: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume -6.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 275 56 resolved · 20% of them
- Win rate
- 48% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -6% $8093.77 on $59449.27 traded
- Copyability
- 70 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where HerrieDavis actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 69 | 116 | 50% | $859.92 |
| Politics | 64 | 76 | 48% | $745.28 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 70 | 0% | −$4364.46 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 7 | 0% | $0.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 days before resolution. Average fill size $166.98; average spread paid 1.6¢; average book liquidity $33750.92. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-30: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 5 settled markets
Follow HerrieDavis on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed