mpoly: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -17.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 348 117 resolved · 34% of them
- Win rate
- 48% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -18% $2682.09 on $38590.05 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where mpoly actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 28 | 96 | 48% | −$299.33 |
| Crypto | 28 | 48 | 48% | −$721.33 |
| Other markets | 22 | 204 | 48% | −$2391.51 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 hours before resolution. Average fill size $55.78; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-12: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -17.6% below floor
Follow mpoly on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed