TheodoreDoesntPlay: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -17.7% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 360 146 resolved · 41% of them
- Win rate
- 55% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -18% $6087.10 on $21616.21 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where TheodoreDoesntPlay actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 36 | 142 | 84% | −$1478.18 |
| Other markets | 21 | 202 | 46% | −$4014.47 |
| Geopolitics | 17 | 16 | 0% | −$1090.99 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 8 hours before resolution. Average fill size $103.46; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -17.7% below floor
Follow TheodoreDoesntPlay on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed