surfandturf: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume 4.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 388 388 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 67% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 4% $278245.48 on $637281.69 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where surfandturf actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 79 | 188 | 52% | $278860.99 |
| Sports | 33 | 200 | 82% | −$230917.94 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 hours before resolution. Average fill size $3045.04; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed