Moonshot1019: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -13.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 25 25 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 60% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $4569.05 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Moonshot1019 actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 76 | 14 | 79% | $6842.94 |
| Geopolitics | 58 | 4 | 100% | $253.51 |
| Macro & economics | 27 | 7 | 0% | −$14540.37 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 20 days before resolution. Average fill size $2231.41; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-08: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow Moonshot1019 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed