tedm: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x9bb7bd0a3564b99c451d671ba1461b29d9b57028 · leaderboard rank #477 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -40.2% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.

Trades, 30 days
353
67 resolved · 19% of them
Win rate
30%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-40%
$3393.79 on $15801.61 traded
Copyability
54/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where tedm actually wins

Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Crypto202657%−$5331.38
Other markets198836%−$6414.46

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 5 hours before resolution. Average fill size $82.73; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-21: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -40.2% below floor

Follow tedm on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

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Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-21.