usaine: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -34.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 20 17 resolved · 85% of them
- Win rate
- 47% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -34% $6378.72 on $64247.74 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where usaine actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 44 | 6 | 67% | −$1856.04 |
| Sports | 29 | 14 | 43% | −$18290.43 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $2952.13; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-14: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -34.1% below floor
Follow usaine on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed