su281: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume -1.0% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 327 19 resolved · 6% of them
- Win rate
- 0% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $5246.75 on $128319.01 traded
- Copyability
- 78 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where su281 actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 27 | 0% | $2475.55 |
| Sports | 15 | 300 | 0% | −$3731.10 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 17 days before resolution. Average fill size $379.81; average spread paid 1.5¢; average book liquidity $169697.36. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-16: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 4 settled markets
Follow su281 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed