fraagen: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -6.9% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 46 39 resolved · 85% of them
- Win rate
- 79% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -7% $5125.47 on $39087.96 traded
- Copyability
- 79 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where fraagen actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 35 | 46 | 79% | −$4691.85 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 days before resolution. Average fill size $1483.18; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $172198.12. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-09: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow fraagen on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed