forecastication4: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: ROI 0.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 332 55 resolved · 17% of them
- Win rate
- 67% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 0% $37407.56 on $39454.38 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where forecastication4 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 85 | 227 | 81% | $3507.14 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 27 | 104 | 42% | −$3149.70 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 10 hours before resolution. Average fill size $216.16; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow forecastication4 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed