Mr.Kirk: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -27.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 308 33 resolved · 11% of them
- Win rate
- 39% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -28% $3369.90 on $11773.00 traded
- Copyability
- 83 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Mr.Kirk actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 6 | 0% | −$95.61 |
| Sports | 30 | 98 | 46% | −$20562.21 |
| Other markets | 24 | 204 | 35% | −$27739.10 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 18 hours before resolution. Average fill size $567.77; average spread paid 0.3¢; average book liquidity $1687498.48. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Mr.Kirk on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed