agrarward: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable On the watchlist
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume 0.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 362 247 resolved · 68% of them
- Win rate
- 94% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 0% $4838.18 on $1491.50 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where agrarward actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 57 | 49 | 100% | $21.96 |
| Other markets | 55 | 306 | 92% | $118.32 |
| Geopolitics | 54 | 7 | 100% | $0.17 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 hours before resolution. Average fill size $583.69; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow agrarward on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed