sublunary: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 33 33 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 52% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 21% $2815.73 on $16430.66 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where sublunary actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 72 | 16 | 56% | $1903.04 |
| Other markets | 70 | 17 | 47% | $767.58 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $380.08; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — book quality unknown for the sampled markets
Follow sublunary on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed