Monopoly_Money: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume -3.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 261 15 resolved · 6% of them
- Win rate
- 33% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $4151.45 on $12016.45 traded
- Copyability
- 81 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Monopoly_Money actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $1425.00 |
| Politics | 49 | 186 | 100% | −$4744.12 |
| Geopolitics | 33 | 4 | 0% | −$18.08 |
| Other markets | 31 | 70 | 40% | −$1428.63 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 25 days before resolution. Average fill size $510.19; average spread paid 0.9¢; average book liquidity $1562212.19. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-13: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 4 settled markets
Follow Monopoly_Money on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed