Novatan: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Followed by the desk
Edge only in other — copy that category alone.
- Trades, 30 days
- 311 137 resolved · 44% of them
- Win rate
- 63% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 14% $4015.32 on $8118.62 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Novatan actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 84 | 204 | 65% | $6723.40 |
| Macro & economics | 67 | 4 | 100% | $8699.98 |
| Politics | 50 | 50 | 33% | $297.00 |
| Crypto | 50 | 25 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 50 | 1 | 0% | −$150.00 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 28 | 25 | 50% | −$6354.22 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 19 days before resolution. Average fill size $218.71; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $54991.95. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 81
Follow Novatan on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed