MD14: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -54.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 245 245 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 26% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -55% $16180.74 on $65507.99 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where MD14 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 20 | 28 | 29% | −$24185.36 |
| Other markets | 12 | 217 | 25% | −$107926.64 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $984.56; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -54.8% below floor
Follow MD14 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed