gambler13: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume -12.9% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 380 21 resolved · 6% of them
- Win rate
- 86% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $2812.42 on $63858.11 traded
- Copyability
- 75 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where gambler13 actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 63 | 5 | 60% | $835.99 |
| Other markets | 50 | 13 | 0% | −$37.96 |
| Geopolitics | 42 | 362 | 94% | −$6493.60 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 30 days before resolution. Average fill size $115.95; average spread paid 1.2¢; average book liquidity $62139.54. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-10: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 4 settled markets
Follow gambler13 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed