PontiusPilate: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -13.2% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 359 182 resolved · 51% of them
- Win rate
- 9% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -13% $4923.57 on $39704.90 traded
- Copyability
- 79 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where PontiusPilate actually wins
Best category: Geopolitics. Conflict, diplomacy, sanctions. Low fees, sparse books, and outcomes that reprice on headlines faster than a copy can arrive.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 49 | 197 | 11% | $1565.48 |
| Sports | 10 | 161 | 0% | −$9185.06 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 days before resolution. Average fill size $160.90; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $162240.28. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-06: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -13.2% below floor
Follow PontiusPilate on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed