Rafael88: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in politics — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 186 23 resolved · 12% of them
- Win rate
- 83% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 13% $3676.70 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Rafael88 actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 81 | 101 | 84% | $9971.84 |
| Other markets | 54 | 52 | 100% | $301.48 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 46 | 30 | 0% | −$48.00 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 39 days before resolution. Average fill size $418.93; average spread paid 1.2¢; average book liquidity $184341.48. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Rafael88 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed