aa147258: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -38.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 304 82 resolved · 27% of them
- Win rate
- 62% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -38% $5163.94 on $21515.82 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where aa147258 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 69 | 16 | 67% | $4698.44 |
| Other markets | 27 | 288 | 62% | −$52414.03 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $409.20; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-09: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -38.4% below floor
Follow aa147258 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed