Bighouse: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Not enough evidence Rejected
Only 9 resolved trades — not enough to judge. Reservation: win rate rests on only 1 settled market; only 9 resolved trades; margin on volume -34.2% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 43 9 resolved · 21% of them
- Win rate
- 0% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -34% $2348.40 on $933.25 traded
- Copyability
- 77 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Bighouse actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 24 | 43 | 0% | −$2676.43 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 95 days before resolution. Average fill size $181.76; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $86790.59. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-12: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 1 settled market
Follow Bighouse on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed